Sep 20, 2026
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Read Article Marlins vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/2/2026]
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Marlins vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Sunday.
The New York Mets and Miami Marlins will lock horns in MLB action at Citi Field on Sunday, starting at 1:40 PM ET.
Robert Stock (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Marlins will counter with Sandy Alcantara (11-6, 3.82 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 52.9% win probability over the Marlins.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Marlins vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mets a 52.9% chance of beating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 64.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53.6% chance of going over,.
Marlins vs. Mets odds [8/2/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+178) | +1.5 (-155) |
| Moneyline | +104 | +108 |
| Total | o8.5 (+108) | u8.5 (+104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -155 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +108 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | hard_rock+108 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Marlins at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
- Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 52.9% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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