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Read Article Dodgers vs. Mets prediction: Dodgers favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [7/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Sunday.
The New York Mets will face the Los Angeles Dodgers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Citi Field on Sunday, beginning at 1:40 PM ET.
The Mets will have Freddy Peralta (5-9, 5.01 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Emmet Sheehan (4-7, 5.13 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Dodgers a slight edge with a 54.6% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Dodgers vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dodgers vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Dodgers and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 54.6% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 57.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 55.8% chance of going over,.
Dodgers vs. Mets odds [7/26/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dodgers | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+117) | +1.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | -144 | +141 |
| Total | o8.5 (-104) | u8.5 (+102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dodgers vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +141 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -104 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dodgers vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Mets and Dodgers at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
- Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 54.6% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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