Sep 17, 2026
Brewers vs. Pirates prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/17/2026]
Read Article Dodgers vs. Reds prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.5% win probability for the Dodgers at Great American Ball Park.
The Cincinnati Reds will face the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action at Great American Ball Park on Thursday, commencing at 12:40 PM ET.
Brady Singer (6-14, 5.38 ERA) will start for the Reds, up against Justin Wrobleski (11-5, 3.78 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Reds prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dodgers vs. Reds prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Reds, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 61.5% chance of defeating the Reds. According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 50.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 53.9% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (+106) / Reds +1.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: Dodgers -150, Reds +156
- Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-111/+104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 @ +106 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Dodgers @ -150 via BetRivers
- Total: Over 9.5 @ 53¢ via Novig
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Dodgers -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Reds and Dodgers at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to start at 12:40 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
- Time: 12:40 PM ET/9:40AM PT
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 61.5% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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