Dodgers vs. Cubs prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [8/4/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Tuesday.

Los Angeles Dodgers-Chicago Cubs Predictions and Game Preview.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB prediction for Tuesday, August 4, 2026.

The Chicago Cubs will square off with the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Tuesday, beginning at 8:05 PM ET.

The Cubs will start Javier Assad (6-1, 3.75 ERA), while the Dodgers are going with Tarik Skubal (7-5, 2.79 ERA).

Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Cubs prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Dodgers vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Dodgers and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Dodgers a 63.8% chance of defeating the Cubs.

According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 52.8% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 57.7% chance of going over,.

 

Dodgers vs. Cubs odds [8/4/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Dodgers Cubs
Run Line -1.5 (-113) +1.5 (+111)
Moneyline -182 +180
Total o8.5 (-122) u8.5 (+120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Cubs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Cubs +1.5 +111
Moneyline Cubs +180
Total Over 8.5 -122

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Dodgers vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's MLB game between the Cubs and Dodgers at Wrigley Field is scheduled to start at 8:05 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Dodgers, with a 63.8% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Tuesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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