Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [8/7/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks predictions for MLB Friday.

Los Angeles Dodgers-Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions and Game Preview.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB prediction for Friday, August 7, 2026.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Chase Field on Friday, starting at 9:40 PM ET.

The Diamondbacks will have Merrill Kelly (8-9, 5.04 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Roki Sasaki (5-5, 4.64 ERA) for the Dodgers.

Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 59.2% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.

According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 51.6% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 59.3% chance of going over,.

 

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds [8/7/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ +100 via hard_rock
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +160 via DraftKings
  • Total: Over 9 @ +101 via DraftKings

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +160 via DraftKings
  • Total: Over 9 @ +101 via DraftKings According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB action between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers at Chase Field is scheduled to begin at 9:40 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Dodgers, with a 59.2% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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