Reds vs. Cardinals prediction: St. Louis favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/24/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals predictions for MLB Friday.

Cincinnati Reds-St. Louis Cardinals Predictions and Game Preview.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB prediction for Friday, July 24, 2026.

MLB action continues on Friday at 8:15 PM ET as the Cincinnati Reds square off with the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium.

The Cardinals will start Dustin May (5-7, 4.78 ERA), while the Reds are going with Rhett Lowder (3-7, 5.75 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Cardinals as the most likely winner of the Reds vs. Cardinals game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Reds vs. Cardinals prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB game between the Reds and Cardinals, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Cardinals a 57.0% chance of beating the Reds.

According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 61.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 51.0% chance of staying under,.

 

Reds vs. Cardinals odds [7/24/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Reds Cardinals
Run Line +1.5 (-156) -1.5 (+153)
Moneyline +133 -135
Total o8.5 (+117) u8.5 (-117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Reds vs. Cardinals picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Reds +1.5 -156
Moneyline Reds +133
Total Over 8.5 +117

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Reds vs. Cardinals game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Reds at Busch Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Cardinals, with a 57.0% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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