Club America vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Club America vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on September 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Club America
3
4
Estadio Banorte
Cruz Azul
Estadio Banorte
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
Club AmericaAME
E. Lira (19')
Soccer ball icon
J. Paradela (35')
Soccer ball icon
J. Orozco (45')
Soccer ball icon
G. Fernandez (72')
Soccer ball icon
B. Rodriguez (52')
Soccer ball icon
O. Perea (90')
Soccer ball icon
Miguel Borja (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Club America
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club America by O. Perea, assisted by K. Alvarez
    2-4
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club America by Miguel Borja
    3-4
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club America: Miguel Borja replaces H. Martin
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces A. Palavecino
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Piovi replaces A. Garcia
  7. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by E. Lira
    1-4
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club America: O. Perea replaces Raphael Veiga
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Mozo replaces J. Marquez
  10. 63'
    Yellow Card
    J. Marquez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  11. 60'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Rotondi replaces O. Campos
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces N. Ibanez
  14. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club America by B. Rodriguez
    1-3
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club America: A. Zendejas replaces I. Violante
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club America: Icaro replaces E. Sanchez
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Orozco, assisted by J. Paradela
    0-3
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Orozco (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  19. 45'
    Yellow Card
    N. Ibanez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  20. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Raphael Veiga (Club America) cautioned
  21. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Cervantes (Club America) cautioned
  22. 43'
    Penalty missed by N. Ibanez for Cruz Azul
  23. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Paradela, assisted by C. Rodriguez
    0-2
  24. 29'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club America: C. Borja replaces D. Espinoza
  25. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by E. Lira, assisted by J. Paradela
    0-1

Club America vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Club America vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 11:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Banorte

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club America +145, Cruz Azul +170, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-132/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Club America: 36.9%
  • Cruz Azul: 37.2%
  • Draw: 26.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Club America 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Club America vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.2%.

The most likely correct score is Club America 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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