Puebla vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on January 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
0
1
Jan 17, 10:05 PM ET
Cruz Azul
Jan 17, 10:05 PM ET
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
J. Paradela (78')
Soccer ball icon
F. Monarrez (11')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Puebla
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Yellow Card
M. Levy (Cruz Azul) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Gonzalez replaces J. Paradela
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: I. Maestro replaces E. Lozano
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Ramirez replaces A. Organista
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Paradela, assisted by G. Fernandez
0-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Marquez replaces C. Rotondi
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces E. Lira
66'
Yellow Card
E. Navarro (Puebla) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces E. Guerra
59'
Yellow Card
D. Gutierrez (Puebla) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces L. Romero
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces J. Sanchez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: K. Velasco replaces E. Gomez
35'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: P. Gamarra replaces C. Baltazar
11'
Red Card
F. Monarrez (Puebla) sent off with a straight red card

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Puebla vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +480, Cruz Azul -180, draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Puebla: 13.9%
  • Cruz Azul: 66.6%
  • Draw: 19.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 0-2 Cruz Azul (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Puebla vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.6%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 0-2 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Puebla vs. Cruz Azul, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.