Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on January 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Queretaro
1
:
1
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
A. Carrasquilla (49')
Soccer ball icon
M. Coronel (71')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Queretaro
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: W. Madrid replaces J. Unjanque
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Azuaje replaces R. Duarte
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Lopez replaces C. Garza
  4. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by M. Coronel, assisted by J. Unjanque
    1-1
  5. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: C. Garcia replaces M. A. Carcelen Carabali
  6. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Caicedo replaces P. Vite
  7. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: F. Pena replaces Jhojan Julio
  8. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: M. Coronel replaces L. Rodriguez
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Morales replaces Juninho
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Ruvalcaba replaces J. Carrillo
  11. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Carrasquilla
    0-1
  12. 40'
    Yellow Card
    C. Garza (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +360, Pumas UNAM -125, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+106/-130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 14.4%
  • Pumas UNAM: 63.4%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 0-1 Pumas UNAM (14.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.4%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 0-1 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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