Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna Liga MX match on January 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Necaxa
3
1
Estadio Corona
Santos Laguna
Estadio Corona
Santos LagunaSAN
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
L. Di Yorio (28')
Soccer ball icon
J. Abella (52')
Red Card icon
A. Oliveros (4')
Soccer ball icon
T. Badaloni (14')
Soccer ball icon
J. Carranza (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Santos Laguna
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza (pen.)
    3-1
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Orona (Santos Laguna) cautioned
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Carranza replaces T. Badaloni
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces R. Monreal
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. A. Ocejo Zazueta replaces K. Palacios
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces R. Sanchez
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Santos Laguna: E. Orona replaces A. Lopez
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Santos Laguna: E. Bullaude replaces K. Balanta
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: L. Faravelli replaces R. Cortez
  10. 52'
    Red Card
    J. Abella (Santos Laguna) sent off with a straight red card
  11. 43'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
  12. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Santos Laguna by L. Di Yorio, assisted by F. Villalba
    2-1
  13. 20'
    Yellow Card
    B. Amione (Santos Laguna) cautioned
  14. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni, assisted by K. Rosero
    2-0
  15. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Oliveros
    1-0

Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Corona

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +115, Santos Laguna +220, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-158/+128)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 50.6%
  • Santos Laguna: 26.1%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Santos Laguna (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.6%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Santos Laguna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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