Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna Liga MX match on January 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
3
1
Jan 10, 8:00 PM ET Estadio Corona
Santos Laguna
Jan 10, 8:00 PM ET Estadio Corona
Santos LagunaSAN
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
L. Di Yorio (28')
Soccer ball icon
J. Abella (52')
Red Card icon
A. Oliveros (4')
Soccer ball icon
T. Badaloni (14')
Soccer ball icon
J. Carranza (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Santos Laguna
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza (pen.)
3-1
90'
Yellow Card
E. Orona (Santos Laguna) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Carranza replaces T. Badaloni
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces R. Monreal
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. A. Ocejo Zazueta replaces K. Palacios
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces R. Sanchez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: E. Orona replaces A. Lopez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: E. Bullaude replaces K. Balanta
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: L. Faravelli replaces R. Cortez
52'
Red Card
J. Abella (Santos Laguna) sent off with a straight red card
43'
Yellow Card
E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by L. Di Yorio, assisted by F. Villalba
2-1
20'
Yellow Card
B. Amione (Santos Laguna) cautioned
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni, assisted by K. Rosero
2-0
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Oliveros
1-0

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Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Corona

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +115, Santos Laguna +220, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-158/+128)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 50.6%
  • Santos Laguna: 26.1%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Santos Laguna (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.6%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Santos Laguna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.