Monterrey vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on January 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
2
0
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
G. Berterame (15')
Soccer ball icon
I. Fimbres (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Monterrey
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: S. Medina replaces C. Salcedo
  2. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: A. Martial replaces R. de la Rosa
  3. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: J. Moxica replaces G. Berterame
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: J. Rodriguez replaces O. Torres
  5. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces S. Canales
  6. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces C. Calderon
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: A. E. Almendra replaces T. Badaloni
  8. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces D. Leyva
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Carranza replaces R. Sanchez
  10. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by I. Fimbres, assisted by R. de la Rosa
    2-0
  11. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by G. Berterame, assisted by O. Torres
    1-0

Monterrey vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +170, Necaxa +145, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Monterrey: 40.0%
  • Necaxa: 36.3%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-1 Necaxa (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Monterrey vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.0%.

The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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