Pachuca vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on October 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
1
0
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
L. Quinones (34')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
  2. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces P. Pedraza
  3. 79'
    Yellow Card
    A. Palavecino (Necaxa) cautioned
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: I. Hernandez replaces E. Valencia
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: P. Perez replaces J. Rojas
  6. 72'
    Yellow Card
    P. Pedraza (Pachuca) cautioned
  7. 72'
    Yellow Card
    F. Rossano (Necaxa) cautioned
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces D. Cambindo
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: G. Togni replaces Kenedy
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: I. Luna replaces O. Idrissi
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: C. Sanchez replaces A. Aceves
  12. 55'
    Yellow Card
    I. Rodriguez (Necaxa) cautioned
  13. 51'
    Yellow Card
    Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) cautioned
  14. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by L. Quinones, assisted by A. Aceves
    1-0
  15. 31'
    Yellow Card
    D. Cambindo (Necaxa) cautioned

Pachuca vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, October 3, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +175, Necaxa +148, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+118)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pachuca: 35.0%
  • Necaxa: 41.3%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pachuca 1-1 Necaxa (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Pachuca vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.3%.

The most likely correct score is Pachuca 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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