Elche vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on September 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Madrid
3
2
Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
A. Osorio (71')
Soccer ball icon
F. Nino (83')
Soccer ball icon
M. Dituro (o.g.) (25')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (33')
Soccer ball icon
C. Espi (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Madrid
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by C. Espi, assisted by K. Mbappe
    3-2
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Dumfries replaces Y. Diomande
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Josan (Elche) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    G. Villar (Elche) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: C. Espi replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
  6. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: Endrick replaces A. Tchouameni
  7. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by F. Nino, assisted by Josan
    2-2
  8. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Josan replaces Tete Morente
  9. 78'
    Yellow Card
    L. Cepeda (Elche) cautioned
  10. 73'
    Yellow Card
    I. Konate (Real Madrid) cautioned
  11. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by A. Osorio, assisted by L. Cepeda
    2-1
  12. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces Vinicius Junior
  13. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: J. Bellingham replaces A. Guler
  14. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: R. Sanchez replaces Buba Sangare
  15. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: F. Nino replaces M. Neto
  16. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: T. Lemar replaces G. Valera
  17. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Cepeda replaces M. Aguado
  18. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by Y. Diomande
    2-0
  19. 31'
    Yellow Card
    M. Aguado (Elche) cautioned
  20. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by M. Dituro (o.g.)
    1-0
  21. 4'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Diomande (Real Madrid) cautioned

Elche vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche 7¢, Real Madrid 82¢, draw 13¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (74¢/26¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 12.5%
  • Real Madrid: 71.3%
  • Draw: 16.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-2 Real Madrid (9.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Elche vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 71.3%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-2 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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