Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna La Liga match on September 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Osasuna
0
4
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
J. David (24')
Soccer ball icon
Lee Kang-In (54')
Soccer ball icon
R. Le Normand (63')
Soccer ball icon
A. Baena (82')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Osasuna
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Bretones (Osasuna) cautioned
  2. 86'
    Yellow Card
    R. Garcia (Osasuna) cautioned
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Hjulmand replaces J. Cardoso
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: D. Hancko replaces A. Grimaldo
  5. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Baena, assisted by J. Cardoso
    0-4
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Del Castillo replaces A. Osambela
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: J. Moncayola replaces I. Arguibide
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Pubill replaces C. Romero
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Simeone replaces J. David
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Ortiz replaces A. Lookman
  11. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by R. Le Normand
    0-3
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: A. Budimir replaces R. Garcia
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces J. Dubasin
  14. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces R. Moro
  15. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by Lee Kang-In, assisted by J. David
    0-2
  16. 50'
    Yellow Card
    A. Lookman (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  17. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. David
    0-1

Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -295, Osasuna 8¢, draw 16¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-152/39¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 65.7%
  • Osasuna: 13.5%
  • Draw: 20.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 65.7%.

The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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