Alaves vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Valencia La Liga match on September 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Valencia
1
0
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
L. Rioja (78')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces A. Perez
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces A. Blanco
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: M. Rodriguez replaces A. Rebbach
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: I. Cordoba replaces J. De Haas
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces L. Rioja
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: A. Martinez replaces P. Maffeo
  7. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by L. Rioja, assisted by J. Guerra
    1-0
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: D. Otorbi replaces G. Rodriguez
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: M. Diaz replaces T. Martinez
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces D. Suarez
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: L. Rioja replaces H. Duro
  12. 61'
    Yellow Card
    G. Rodriguez (Valencia) cautioned
  13. 52'
    Yellow Card
    A. Mayol (Valencia) cautioned
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Pepelu (Valencia) cautioned
  15. 21'
    Yellow Card
    J. Guerra (Valencia) cautioned
  16. 21'
    Yellow Card
    A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
  17. 17'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

Alaves vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Valencia
  • Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves 56¢, Valencia +460, draw 27¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (45¢/56¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 52.9%
  • Valencia: 22.3%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-0 Valencia (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Alaves vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.9%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-0 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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