Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
1
:
1
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
J. de Frutos (35')
Soccer ball icon
I. Williams (47')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces I. Akhomach
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces M. Jauregizar
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: S. Sanchez replaces O. Sancet
  4. 85'
    Yellow Card
    I. Akhomach (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Gorosabel replaces J. Areso
  6. 71'
    Yellow Card
    A. Laporte (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  7. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Trejo replaces I. Palazon
  8. 65'
    Yellow Card
    O. Sancet (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces G. Gumbau
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces A. Garcia
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Valentin replaces N. Mendy
  12. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  13. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Williams, assisted by A. Berenguer
    1-1
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces U. Gomez
  15. 40'
    Yellow Card
    I. Palazon (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  16. 39'
    Yellow Card
    M. Jauregizar (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  17. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by J. de Frutos
    0-1

Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +150, Athletic Bilbao +210, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+132/-162)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 37.6%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 34.4%
  • Draw: 28.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.6%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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