Barcelona vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Barcelona vs. Villareal La Liga match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
1
4
Camp Nou
Barcelona
Camp Nou
BarcelonaFCB
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
Lamine Yamal (28')
Soccer ball icon
Lamine Yamal (37')
Soccer ball icon
Lamine Yamal (69')
Soccer ball icon
R. Lewandowski (90')
Soccer ball icon
P. Gueye (49')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Barcelona
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by R. Lewandowski, assisted by J. Kounde
    1-4
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces N. Pepe
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Gonzalez replaces S. Cardona
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: D. Parejo replaces S. Comesana
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: M. Rashford replaces Raphinha
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: R. Bardghji replaces Lamine Yamal
  7. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Lamine Yamal, assisted by Pedri
    1-3
  8. 68'
    Yellow Card
    A. Pedraza (Villarreal) cautioned
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: R. Lewandowski replaces F. Torres
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: R. Araujo replaces M. Bernal
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Pedraza replaces A. Moleiro
  12. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Buchanan replaces A. Perez
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: Pedri replaces D. Olmo
  14. 56'
    Yellow Card
    Raphinha (Barcelona) cautioned
  15. 55'
    Yellow Card
    H. Flick (Barcelona) cautioned
  16. 55'
    Yellow Card
    Marcelino (Villarreal) cautioned
  17. 53'
    Yellow Card
    M. Bernal (Barcelona) cautioned
  18. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by P. Gueye, assisted by S. Mourino
    1-2
  19. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Lamine Yamal, assisted by Fermin
    0-2
  20. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by Lamine Yamal, assisted by Fermin
    0-1

Barcelona vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Barcelona vs. Villareal
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Camp Nou

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona -250, Villareal +600, draw +475

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Barcelona: 67.4%
  • Villareal: 15.1%
  • Draw: 17.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Barcelona 2-1 Villareal (9.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Barcelona vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 67.4%.

The most likely correct score is Barcelona 2-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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