Southern Methodist vs. Florida State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Southern Methodist vs. Florida State NCAAF game on September 7, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Southern Methodist
27
24
Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Florida State
Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Southern Methodist
    100%
  • Florida State
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Southern Methodist
7 10 0 10 27
Florida State
7 3 7 7 24
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Florida State
Southern Methodist
1st and 10 at the SMU 47
Last Play
A.Daniels rushed for 34 yards. Lateral to D.Robinson to SMU 44 for -3 yards. D.Robinson FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by SMU-L.Spencer at FSU 47. Tackled by FSU at SMU 48.

Southern Methodist vs. Florida State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Southern Methodist vs. Florida State
  • Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Southern Methodist favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 53.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Southern Methodist -145, Florida State +136

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Southern Methodist: 58%
  • Florida State: 42%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Southern Methodist 28-25 Florida State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Southern Methodist a win probability of 58%, while Florida State has a win probability of 42%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Southern Methodist is more likely to beat Florida State in CFB action at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Southern Methodist vs. Florida State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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