Washington vs. Michigan State prediction: Why Washington is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Washington vs. Michigan State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Washington a 53.6% chance of defeating Michigan State. Our predicted final score has Washington winning 23-21. According to our model, Michigan State (+2.5) has a 51.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 55.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Washington -2.5 (-111) / Michigan State +2.5 (+106)
• Moneyline: Washington -127, Michigan State +125
• Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-108/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Michigan State +2.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Michigan State @ 45¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 43.5 @ 52¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 43.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Michigan State and Washington at Spartan Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:30 PM ET.

• Who: Washington vs. Michigan State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 5:30 PM ET/2:30 PM PT
• Venue: Spartan Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Washington, with a 53.6% win probability, will likely beat Michigan State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.