Wagner vs. California prediction: Why California is favored to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Wagner vs. California, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives California a 99.9% chance of defeating Wagner. Our predicted final score has California winning 59-4. According to our model, Wagner (+58.5) has a 57.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 65.5 points has a 53.9% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Wagner +58.5 (-110) / California -58.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Wagner , California

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Under @ -110 via Bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wagner +58.5.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between California and Wagner at California Memorial Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Wagner vs. California
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: California Memorial Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict California, with a 99.9% win probability, will likely beat Wagner in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.