Utah State vs. San Diego State prediction favors Utah State to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Utah State vs. San Diego State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Utah State a 56.9% chance of beating San Diego State. Our predicted final score has Utah State winning 24-21. According to our model, San Diego State (+3.5) has a 54.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 56.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Utah State -3.5 (+115) / San Diego State +3.5 (-117)
• Moneyline: Utah State -141, San Diego State +138
• Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: San Diego State +3.5 @ 54¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: San Diego State @ 42¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 43.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 43.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between San Diego State and Utah State at Snapdragon Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Utah State vs. San Diego State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30 PM PT
• Venue: Snapdragon Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Utah State, with a 56.9% win probability, will likely beat San Diego State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.