Oregon State vs. Boise State prediction favors Boise State to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Oregon State vs. Boise State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Boise State an 86.3% chance of beating Oregon State. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 40-23. According to our model, Oregon State (+16.5) has a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 64.5 points has a 51.7% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Oregon State +16.5 (+104) / Boise State -16.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Oregon State +614, Boise State -641
• Total: Over/Under 64.5 (-106/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Oregon State +16.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Boise State @ 86¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 64.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 64.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Boise State and Oregon State at Albertsons Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Oregon State vs. Boise State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00 PM PT
• Venue: Albertsons Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Boise State, with an 86.3% win probability, will likely beat Oregon State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.