Illinois State vs. Youngstown State prediction favors Youngstown State to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Illinois State vs. Youngstown State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Youngstown State an 84.7% chance of beating Illinois State. Our predicted final score has Youngstown State winning 37-23. According to our model, Youngstown State (-13.5) has a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 62.5 points has a 53.9% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Illinois State +13.5 (-107) / Youngstown State -13.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Illinois State +456, Youngstown State -471
• Total: Over/Under 62.5 (-113/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Youngstown State -13.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Youngstown State @ 83¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 62.5 @ -110 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Youngstown State -13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Youngstown State and Illinois State at Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:30 PM ET.

• Who: Illinois State vs. Youngstown State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30 PM PT
• Venue: Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Youngstown State, with an 84.7% win probability, will likely beat Illinois State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.