South Dakota vs. Boise State prediction favors Boise State to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of South Dakota vs. Boise State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Boise State a 96.0% chance of beating South Dakota. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 40-15. According to our model, South Dakota (+26.5) has a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 56.5-point over/under has a 50.1% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: South Dakota +26.5 (-110) / Boise State -26.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: South Dakota +1600, Boise State -2100
• Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: South Dakota +26.5 @ -110 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Boise State @ -2100 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 56.5 @ -108 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is South Dakota +26.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Boise State and South Dakota at Albertsons Stadium is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: South Dakota vs. Boise State
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Albertsons Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Boise State, with a 96.0% win probability, will likely beat South Dakota in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.