North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State prediction favors North Dakota State to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives North Dakota State a 96.9% chance of beating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has North Dakota State winning 38-12. According to our model, Sacramento State (+27.5) has a 54.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 50.5 points has a 51.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: North Dakota State -27.5 (-104) / Sacramento State +27.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: North Dakota State -4500, Sacramento State +2000
• Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sacramento State +27.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: North Dakota State @ -4500 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 50.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Sacramento State +27.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Sacramento State and North Dakota State at Hornet Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
• Venue: Hornet Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict North Dakota State, with a 96.9% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.