North Dakota State vs. New Mexico prediction favors New Mexico to win in college football Week 8 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of North Dakota State vs. New Mexico, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives New Mexico a 63.5% chance of defeating North Dakota State. Our predicted final score has New Mexico winning 23-19. According to our model, New Mexico (-3.5) has a 51.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 39.5 points has a 58.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: North Dakota State +3.5 (+108) / New Mexico -3.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: North Dakota State +174, New Mexico -178
• Total: Over/Under 39.5 (-114/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: North Dakota State +3.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: North Dakota State @ 36¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 39.5 @ -114 via FanDuel

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 39.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between New Mexico and North Dakota State at University Stadium is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: North Dakota State vs. New Mexico
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00 PM PT
• Venue: University Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict New Mexico, with a 63.5% win probability, will likely beat North Dakota State in Saturday's college football matchup.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.