Utah State vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win in college football Week 8 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Utah State vs. Texas State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Texas State an 85.1% chance of beating Utah State. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 38-23. According to our model, Texas State (-14) has a 51.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 59.5 points has a 53.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Utah State +14 (-114) / Texas State -14 (-108)
• Moneyline: Utah State +471, Texas State -488
• Total: Over/Under 59.5 (-115/+111)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas State -14 @ -108 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Texas State @ 83¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 59.5 @ 53¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Texas State and Utah State at UFCU Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Utah State vs. Texas State
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: UFCU Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Texas State, with an 85.1% win probability, will likely beat Utah State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.