Morehead State vs. Dayton prediction favors Dayton to win in college football Week 6 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Morehead State vs. Dayton, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Dayton a 95.3% chance of defeating Morehead State. Our predicted final score has Dayton winning 38-16. According to our model, Dayton (-21.5) has a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 54.5-point over/under has a 50.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Morehead State +21.5 (+115) / Dayton -21.5 (-140)
• Moneyline: Morehead State +1180, Dayton -3000
• Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-103)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Morehead State +21.5 @ +115 via bet365
• Moneyline: Dayton @ -3000 via bet365
• Total: Under 54.5 @ -103 via DraftKings

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Morehead State +21.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Dayton and Morehead State at Welcome Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Morehead State vs. Dayton
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Welcome Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Dayton, with a 95.3% win probability, will likely beat Morehead State in Saturday's college football matchup.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.