Tennessee vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Tennessee is favored to win in college football Week 6 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tennessee vs. Arkansas, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Tennessee an 82.5% chance of defeating Arkansas. Our predicted final score has Tennessee winning 32-19. According to our model, Arkansas (+13.5) has a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 51.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Tennessee -13.5 (-113) / Arkansas +13.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Tennessee -560, Arkansas +440
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-104/-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Arkansas +13.5 @ -105 via bet365
• Moneyline: Arkansas @ +440 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 51.5 @ -104 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Arkansas and Tennessee at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:15 PM ET.

• Who: Tennessee vs. Arkansas
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 4:15 PM ET/1:15PM PT
• Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Tennessee, with an 82.5% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.