Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State prediction: Why Tennessee-Martin is favored to win in college football Week 6 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Tennessee-Martin a 73.5% chance of defeating Tennessee State. Our predicted final score has Tennessee-Martin winning 27-20. According to our model, Tennessee State (+8.5) has a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 53.2% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Tennessee-Martin -8.5 (-112) / Tennessee State +8.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Tennessee-Martin -350, Tennessee State +265
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-112/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tennessee State +8.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Tennessee State @ +265 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 46.5 @ -112 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 46.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Tennessee State and Tennessee-Martin at Nissan Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Nissan Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Tennessee-Martin, with a 73.5% win probability, will likely beat Tennessee State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.