Morehead State vs. Dayton: College Football Week 6 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Morehead State vs. Dayton prediction for Saturday, October 10, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our College Football machine learning models.
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Morehead State
Predicted score
16
:
38
Welcome Stadium
Dayton
Welcome Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Dayton -21.5
Spread
  • Morehead State
    49.9%
    DraftKingsDraftKings
  • Dayton
    50.1%
    CaesarsCaesars

Morehead State vs. Dayton: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: College Football Week 6

  • Teams: Morehead State vs. Dayton
  • Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
  • Time: 12:00PM ET
  • Venue: Welcome Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Morehead State (+21.5, +113), Dayton (-21.5, -140)
  • Moneyline: Morehead State +1180, Dayton -3000
  • Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points (-115/-103)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Morehead State: 4.8%
  • Dayton: 95.2%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each college football matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Morehead State 16-38 Dayton.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Morehead State a win probability of 4.8%, while the Dayton have a win probability of 95.2%.

Summary

Morehead State faces off against Dayton in college football action at Welcome Stadium on Saturday, October 10, 2026.

Our Morehead State vs. Dayton predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes college football props, college football futures, college football odds, and the latest college football news.