Miami Ohio vs. Cincinnati prediction: Why Cincinnati is favored to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Miami Ohio vs. Cincinnati, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Cincinnati an 87.2% chance of beating Miami Ohio. Our predicted final score has Cincinnati winning 33-17. According to our model, Cincinnati (-15) has a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49.5 points has a 53.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Miami Ohio +15 (-113) / Cincinnati -15 (-110)
• Moneyline: Miami Ohio +600, Cincinnati -750
• Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-109/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Cincinnati -15 @ -110 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Cincinnati @ -750 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 49.5 @ -109 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 49.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Cincinnati and Miami Ohio at TQL Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Miami Ohio vs. Cincinnati
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: TQL Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Cincinnati, with an 87.2% win probability, will likely beat Miami Ohio in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.