Mercer vs. Tennessee Tech prediction: Why Tennessee Tech is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Mercer vs. Tennessee Tech, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Tennessee Tech a 73.5% chance of defeating Mercer. Our predicted final score has Tennessee Tech winning 30-22. According to our model, Tennessee Tech (-6.5) has a 54.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 54.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Mercer +6.5 (+100) / Tennessee Tech -6.5 (-120)
• Moneyline: Mercer +239, Tennessee Tech -245
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-112/-109)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tennessee Tech -6.5 @ -120 via bet365
• Moneyline: Tennessee Tech @ 71¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 51.5 @ -112 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tennessee Tech to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Tennessee Tech and Mercer at Tucker Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:30 PM ET.

• Who: Mercer vs. Tennessee Tech
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30 AM PT
• Venue: Tucker Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Tennessee Tech, with a 73.5% win probability, will likely beat Mercer in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.