Kansas State vs. Cincinnati prediction: Why Kansas State is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Kansas State vs. Cincinnati, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Kansas State a 63.7% chance of defeating Cincinnati. Our predicted final score has Kansas State winning 29-25. According to our model, Cincinnati (+5.5) has a 54.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 50.6% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Kansas State -5.5 (-120) / Cincinnati +5.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: Kansas State -225, Cincinnati +195
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-105/-109)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Cincinnati +5.5 @ -102 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Cincinnati @ +195 via bet365
• Total: Over 55.5 @ -105 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cincinnati +5.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Cincinnati and Kansas State at Nippert Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Kansas State vs. Cincinnati
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Nippert Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Kansas State, with a 63.7% win probability, will likely beat Cincinnati in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.