James Madison vs. UConn prediction: Why James Madison is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of James Madison vs. UConn, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives James Madison a 64.1% chance of beating Connecticut. Our predicted final score has James Madison winning 30-26. According to our model, Connecticut (+4.5) has a 50.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 57.5 points has a 50.6% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: James Madison -4.5 (+100) / UConn +4.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: James Madison -182, UConn +182
• Total: Over/Under 57.5 (+104/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Connecticut +4.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Connecticut @ 36¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 57.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Connecticut to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between UConn and James Madison at Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field is scheduled to commence at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: James Madison vs. Connecticut
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00 AM PT
• Venue: Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field

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Conclusion

We predict James Madison, with a 64.1% win probability, will likely beat Connecticut in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.