Jackson State vs. Alabama State prediction: Why Alabama State is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Jackson State vs. Alabama State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Alabama State a 54.1% chance of beating Jackson State. Our predicted final score has Alabama State winning 28-26. According to our model, Alabama State (+1.5) has a 58.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 54.5 points has a 51.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Jackson State -1.5 (-106) / Alabama State +1.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Jackson State -117, Alabama State +113
• Total: Over/Under 54.5 (+113/-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Alabama State +1.5 @ -105 via bet365
• Moneyline: Alabama State @ 47¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 54.5 @ 47¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alabama State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Alabama State and Jackson State at ASU Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Jackson State vs. Alabama State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00 PM PT
• Venue: ASU Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Alabama State, with a 54.1% win probability, will likely beat Jackson State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.