Dayton vs. Eastern Kentucky prediction: Why Eastern Kentucky is favored to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Dayton vs. Eastern Kentucky, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Eastern Kentucky a 78.7% chance of beating Dayton. Our predicted final score has Eastern Kentucky winning 29-18. According to our model, Dayton (+11.5) has a 51.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 53.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Dayton +11.5 (-110) / Eastern Kentucky -11.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Dayton +350, Eastern Kentucky -436
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-105/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Dayton +11.5 @ -110 via bet365
• Moneyline: Dayton @ +350 via bet365
• Total: Over 46.5 @ -105 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 46.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Eastern Kentucky and Dayton at Roy Kidd Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dayton vs. Eastern Kentucky
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Roy Kidd Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Eastern Kentucky, with a 78.7% win probability, will likely beat Dayton in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.