Butler vs. Valparaiso prediction favors Butler to win in college football Week 4 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 70.6% win probability for Butler at Brown Field.

Valparaiso and Butler will clash in Week 4 college football action at Brown Field on Saturday, beginning at 2:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Butler as the most likely winner in this Butler vs. Valparaiso prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Butler vs. Valparaiso prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives Butler a 70.6% chance of defeating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Butler winning 29-23. According to our model, Butler (-6.5) has a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 52.5-point over/under has a 51.0% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Butler -6.5 (-111) / Valparaiso +6.5 (-109)
- Moneyline: Butler -244, Valparaiso +210
- Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-107/-111)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Butler -6.5 @ -111 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Butler @ -244 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 52.5 @ -107 via Caesars
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Butler to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Valparaiso and Butler at Brown Field is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Butler vs. Valparaiso
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Brown Field
College football Week 4 promos
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Conclusion
We predict Butler, with a 70.6% win probability, will likely beat Valparaiso in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



