Bowling Green vs. Iowa State prediction: Why Iowa State is favored to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Bowling Green vs. Iowa State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Iowa State a 96.5% chance of defeating Bowling Green. Our predicted final score has Iowa State winning 34-10. According to our model, Iowa State (-23.5) has a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 53.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Bowling Green +23.5 (-105) / Iowa State -23.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Bowling Green +1400, Iowa State -2400
• Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Iowa State -23.5 @ -106 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Iowa State @ -2400 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 43.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 43.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Iowa State and Bowling Green at Jack Trice Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Bowling Green vs. Iowa State
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Jack Trice Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Iowa State, with a 96.5% win probability, will likely beat Bowling Green in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.