Arkansas State vs. TCU prediction: Why TCU is favored to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Arkansas State vs. TCU, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives TCU a 91.8% chance of defeating Arkansas State. Our predicted final score has TCU winning 37-18. According to our model, TCU (-18.5) has a 50.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 51.3% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Arkansas State +18.5 (-105) / TCU -18.5 (-113)
• Moneyline: Arkansas State +850, TCU -1250
• Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-105/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Arkansas State +18.5 @ -105 via bet365
• Moneyline: TCU @ -1250 via FanDuel
• Total: Under 56.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is TCU to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between TCU and Arkansas State at Amon G. Carter Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Arkansas State vs. TCU
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict TCU, with a 91.8% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.