Arizona State vs. UCF prediction favors UCF to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Arizona State vs. UCF, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives UCF a 61.5% chance of beating Arizona State. Our predicted final score has UCF winning 26-22. According to our model, Arizona State (+3.5) has a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has a 54.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Arizona State +3.5 (-106) / UCF -3.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Arizona State +150, UCF -156
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (+106/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: UCF -3.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: UCF @ 61¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 47.5 @ 48¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 47.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between UCF and Arizona State at Acrisure Bounce House is scheduled to start at 5:30 PM ET.

• Who: Arizona State vs. UCF
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 5:30 PM ET/2:30 PM PT
• Venue: Acrisure Bounce House

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Conclusion

We predict UCF, with a 61.5% win probability, will likely beat Arizona State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.