Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff prediction: Why Alabama State is favored to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Alabama State a 55.2% chance of beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Our predicted final score has Alabama State winning 28-26. According to our model, Arkansas-Pine Bluff (+3.5) has a 55.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under has a 53.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Alabama State -3.5 (-102) / Arkansas-Pine Bluff +3.5 (-120)
• Moneyline: Alabama State -150, Arkansas-Pine Bluff +121
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Arkansas-Pine Bluff +3.5 @ -120 via bet365
• Moneyline: Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ +121 via Caesars
• Total: Over 53.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 53.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Alabama State at Simmons Bank Field is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Simmons Bank Field

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Conclusion

We predict Alabama State, with a 55.2% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.