Morgan State vs. Tennessee State prediction: Why Morgan State is favored to win in college football Week 7 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Morgan State vs. Tennessee State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Morgan State a 65.9% chance of beating Tennessee State. Our predicted final score has Morgan State winning 28-23. According to our model, Tennessee State (+6) has a 51.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 50.5 points has a 53.7% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Morgan State -6 (-111) / Tennessee State +6 (-110)
• Moneyline: Morgan State -228, Tennessee State +180
• Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-112/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tennessee State +6 @ -110 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Tennessee State @ +180 via Caesars
• Total: Over 50.5 @ -112 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 50.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Tennessee State and Morgan State at Nissan Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:30 PM ET.

• Who: Morgan State vs. Tennessee State
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
• Venue: Nissan Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Morgan State, with a 65.9% win probability, will likely beat Tennessee State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.