Arkansas State vs. Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds
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Arkansas State vs. Alabama prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Friday
- Teams: Arkansas State vs. Alabama
- Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
- Tip-off: 7:30PM ET
- Venue: Coleman Coliseum
Current betting odds
- Spread: Arkansas State (+25.5, -110), Alabama (-25.5, -105)
- Total (Over/Under): 175.5 points (-109/-110)
- Moneyline: Arkansas State +4000, Alabama -10000
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Arkansas State: 2.6%
- Alabama: 97.4%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Arkansas State 70 and Alabama 96.
This is a margin of 26 points against a spread of 25.5, and a projected total of 166 points against a market line of 175.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Arkansas State a win probability of 2.6%, while Alabama has a win probability of 97.4%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Alabama is more likely to beat Arkansas State in the men's college basketball game at Coleman Coliseum on Friday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Arkansas State vs. Alabama predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.

