Ball State vs. SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds
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Ball State vs. SMU prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Friday
- Teams: Ball State vs. SMU
- Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
- Tip-off: 9:00PM ET
- Venue: Moody Coliseum
Current betting odds
- Spread: Ball State (+22.5, -105), SMU (-22.5, -110)
- Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points (-115/-105)
- Moneyline: Ball State +2400, SMU -6502
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Ball State: 3.5%
- SMU: 96.5%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Ball State 65 and SMU 87.
This is a margin of 22 points against a spread of 22.5, and a projected total of 152 points against a market line of 152.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Ball State a win probability of 3.5%, while SMU has a win probability of 96.5%.
Summary
According to our analysis, SMU is more likely to beat Ball State in the men's college basketball game at Moody Coliseum on Friday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Ball State vs. SMU predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.