Illinois State vs. North Dakota State Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Illinois State vs. North Dakota State prediction for Friday, November 13, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
MEN'S CBB
CBB sport icon
MEN'S CBB
Illinois State ILST
Predicted score
75
:
73
Scheels Center
North Dakota State NDSU
Scheels Center
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

North Dakota State +2.5
Spread
  • Illinois State
    44.4%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • North Dakota State
    55.6%
    BetMGMBetMGM

Illinois State vs. North Dakota State prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Friday

  • Teams: Illinois State vs. North Dakota State
  • Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
  • Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Scheels Center

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Illinois State (-3, -110), North Dakota State (+3, -110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points (-105/-105)
  • Moneyline: Illinois State -148, North Dakota State +126

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Illinois State: 59.4%
  • North Dakota State: 40.6%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Illinois State 75 and North Dakota State 72.

Both the projected margin and spread are 3. Our predicted score also sees a projected total of 147 points against a market line of 147.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Illinois State a win probability of 59.4%, while North Dakota State has a win probability of 40.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Illinois State is more likely to beat North Dakota State in the men's college basketball game at Scheels Center on Friday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Illinois State vs. North Dakota State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.