Xavier vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Xavier vs. Mississippi State prediction for Friday, November 13, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
MEN'S CBB
CBB sport icon
MEN'S CBB
Xavier XAV
Predicted score
82
:
78
Colonial Hall
Mississippi State MSST
Colonial Hall
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Mississippi State +4.0
Spread
  • Xavier
    49.0%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • Mississippi State
    51.0%
    CaesarsCaesars

Xavier vs. Mississippi State prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Friday

  • Teams: Xavier vs. Mississippi State
  • Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
  • Tip-off: 9:00PM ET
  • Venue: Colonial Hall

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Xavier (-3.5, -105), Mississippi State (+3.5, -110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 163 points (-110/-110)
  • Moneyline: Xavier -162, Mississippi State +145

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Xavier: 60.7%
  • Mississippi State: 39.3%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Xavier 80 and Mississippi State 77.

This is a margin of 3 points against a spread of 3.5, and a projected total of 157 points against a market line of 163.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Xavier a win probability of 60.7%, while Mississippi State has a win probability of 39.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Xavier is more likely to beat Mississippi State in the men's college basketball game at Colonial Hall on Friday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Xavier vs. Mississippi State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.