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Read Article Virginia vs. Maryland prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 13, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Virginia vs. Maryland predictions include win probabilities and the latest odds.
Virginia is favored to beat Maryland at XFINITY Center on Friday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.
Our Virginia vs. Maryland prediction gives the Cavaliers a 69.2% chance of getting the W, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 152.5 points.
Virginia vs. Maryland key predictions
- Predicted score: Virginia 78-73 Maryland
- Virginia win probability: 69.2%
- Maryland win probability: 30.8%
- Maryland +5.5 spread: 50.4% cover probability
- Under 152.5 points: 53.6% probability
Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.
Virginia vs. Maryland odds
Below are the best available prices across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Virginia moneyline: -250 (BetRivers)
- Maryland moneyline: +205 (DraftKings)
- Virginia -5.5: -115 (BetMGM)
- Maryland +5.5: -105 (BetMGM)
- Over 152.5 points: -115 (BetRivers)
- Under 152.5 points: -108 (BetRivers)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Virginia vs. Maryland pick: Under 152.5 (-108)
Our model makes Virginia the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 152.5 total points at -108 on BetRivers.
Those odds give the under an implied probability of 51.9%, while our model rates it at 53.6%.
That's a 1.7% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
Get every Virginia vs. Maryland prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Virginia vs. Maryland predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Virginia vs. Maryland game details
- Matchup: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Maryland Terrapins
- Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: XFINITY Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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