Valparaiso vs. Purdue prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

Purdue is favored to beat Valparaiso at Mackey Arena on Friday (6:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Valparaiso vs. Purdue prediction gives the Beacons a 95.9% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the over 147.5 points.

Valparaiso vs. Purdue key predictions

• Predicted score: Purdue 85-65 Valparaiso
• Purdue win probability: 95.9%
• Valparaiso win probability: 4.1%
• Purdue -19.5 spread: 52.1% cover probability
• Over 147.5 points: 54.8% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Valparaiso vs. Purdue odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Valparaiso moneyline: +1600 (FanDuel)
• Purdue moneyline: -3000 (BetMGM)
• Valparaiso +19.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Purdue -19.5: -104 (BetRivers)
• Over 147.5 points: -105 (DraftKings)
• Under 147.5 points: -115 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Valparaiso vs. Purdue pick: Over 147.5 (-105)

Our model makes Purdue the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the over 147.5 total points at -105 on DraftKings.

Those odds give the over an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 54.8%.

That's a 3.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Valparaiso vs. Purdue game details

• Matchup: Valparaiso Beacons vs. Purdue Boilermakers
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• Venue: Mackey Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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