Southern Miss vs. Texas State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 13, 2026

Texas State is favored to beat Southern Miss at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Friday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Southern Miss vs. Texas State prediction gives Southern Miss an 86.0% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Texas State moneyline, too.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State key predictions

• Predicted score: Texas State 74-63 Southern Miss
• Texas State win probability: 86.0%
• Southern Miss win probability: 14.0%
• Texas State -10.5 spread: 51.0% cover probability
• Over 139 points: 50.3% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State odds

Below are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Southern Miss moneyline: +455 (DraftKings)
• Texas State moneyline: -600 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Southern Miss +10.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Texas State -10.5: -107 (BetRivers)
• Over 139 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 139 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State pick: Texas State ML (-600)

Our model makes Texas State the more likely winner, and our best value bet is the Southern Miss moneyline at -600 on Caesars Sportsbook, too.

Those odds give Texas State an implied win probability of 85.7%, while our model rates it at 86.0%.

That's a 0.3% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Southern Miss vs. Texas State game details

• Matchup: Southern Miss vs. Texas State Bobcats
• Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.